Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000181 0.000201 0.000222 0.000247 0.000275 0.000306 0.000342
2025-02-16 0.000141 0.000169 0.000202 0.000244 0.000296 0.000358 0.000439
2025-02-23 0.000117 0.000149 0.000188 0.000241 0.000312 0.000403 0.000532
2025-03-02 0.000102 0.000136 0.000180 0.000243 0.000331 0.000452 0.000635
2025-03-09 0.000091 0.000125 0.000172 0.000242 0.000346 0.000496 0.000735
2025-03-16 0.000079 0.000112 0.000159 0.000232 0.000344 0.000514 0.000799
2025-03-23 0.000072 0.000105 0.000154 0.000233 0.000359 0.000558 0.000909
2025-03-30 0.000068 0.000103 0.000155 0.000242 0.000386 0.000625 0.001066
2025-04-06 0.000062 0.000096 0.000148 0.000237 0.000390 0.000653 0.001159
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000087 0.000137 0.000225 0.000381 0.000657 0.001210
2025-04-20 0.000052 0.000083 0.000134 0.000226 0.000395 0.000703 0.001345
2025-04-27 0.000050 0.000082 0.000134 0.000232 0.000418 0.000769 0.001531
2025-05-04 0.000046 0.000077 0.000129 0.000228 0.000422 0.000801 0.001656
2025-05-11 0.000043 0.000074 0.000126 0.000230 0.000437 0.000858 0.001847
2025-05-18 0.000040 0.000070 0.000123 0.000228 0.000445 0.000901 0.002015
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000067 0.000120 0.000229 0.000460 0.000962 0.002238
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000065 0.000118 0.000229 0.000471 0.001014 0.002450
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000060 0.000111 0.000219 0.000461 0.001017 0.002533
2025-06-15 0.000031 0.000058 0.000109 0.000220 0.000475 0.001078 0.002789
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000058 0.000110 0.000228 0.000506 0.001187 0.003198
2025-06-29 0.000029 0.000055 0.000106 0.000224 0.000506 0.001216 0.003386
2025-07-06 0.000026 0.000051 0.000100 0.000213 0.000490 0.001201 0.003437
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000049 0.000098 0.000214 0.000504 0.001269 0.003762